Tuesday, May 10, 2016

A PHILOSOPHICAL ANALYSIS OF DETERMINISM IN HISTORY




                                                                                                       ELUSIYAN TOLU’ FRANCIS
The notion that man is free has been a topical issue that occasioned many settings for debate. The existentialist philosophers like Jean Paul Satre are prominent in this regard. Their submission is that man is free in all his activities. In fact, the axiom of Protagoras is a caption of their view when he says “Man is the measure of all things”. But to what extent is human freedom in human history? Is man totally free? If man is not totally free, then can we not say that history is determined? In contrast to the view of the existentialists on freedom, some scholars have subscribed to the fact that an integral aspect of human history is determined. Some of these groups include the materialists, the mechanistic philosophers and so on. Determinism therefore has been seen for these scholars as an important factor of human history. But what is determinism per se?
                Determinism is the conception that a resultant effect is caused. It also holds that actions are programmed. It can also be expressed as an influence which makes an action to occur. Some have also agreed to the fact that actions are determined because of the reasons that meditated the actions that occur. The different types of determinism explicate the meaning of determinism the more. Let us consider the few necessary ones.
Theological Determinism
This is the notion that the almighty God who is the creator of the universe is responsible for everything that happens in the universe. He knows what happens next even before it takes place. He has foreknowledge of every event. Reasonably, this God who has foreknowledge will not allow anything contrary to his will to happen. From the knowledge of God, man shares. This foreknowledge is a form of determinism.
                The kind of knowledge that has been identified as a determinant for human behavior is ethical. This is called ethical determinism. It is opined and expressed that the knowledge of good and bad that man has is what determines his actions. Some scholars hold that no normal human being will choose what is bad at the expense of what is good for him.
                Another form of determinism is the economic determinism. This is the idea that it is the economic situation that prompts the actions that people exhibit. This is clearly understood with special reference to the capitalist states. Here, the invisible hands of the economy determine the action of the people, which is often than not is reactionary. That is, the rising and falling of the demand and supply in relation to the price rate goes a long way to affect the people’s reaction; the higher the price, the lower the demand; the lower the price, the higher the demand. However, this may not be totally true everywhere – Nigeria is a good example where this is not totally true.
                Man is part of nature and lives in the natural world. Man cannot be separated from this natural world. The natural world as it were has laws that govern it. The laws are also binding on man since man is part of the natural world. This cannot be denied. Hence, it has been identified as a form of determinism called physical determinism. Simply put, the natural law of the universe of whichman is inclusive, determines the action of man.
There is also another conception of determinism which will form the focal point of this paper. This is historical determinism. Historical determinism is basically the notion that personalities, events and objects in history are determined by a force. For Placid Tempels, this is known as the vital force. It is the force that moves and exhibits itself using what may be called the agents. It is in this form of determinism that we can now query, “is human history determined?” if yes, “to what extent is human history determined?” history here should be seen as ……
SOME PHILOSOPHERS AND DETERMINISM IN HISTORY
HEGEL
The enterprise of Hegel’s work on history is the absolute spirit. In this work, Hegel simply highlights the fact that nature is the absolute spirit. The world (universe) is the body through which the spirit showcases itself. So, the world and the spirit are the same. This is pantheistic especially when the right wing Hegelians interpreted the absolute spirit to be God. Hegel therefore posits that the events and the civilization we see in the physical and natural world is as a result of the absolute spirit in the form of his Thesis, antithesis and synthesis.  The absolute spirit according to Hegel did not pass through Africa. That is why Africans are prelogical and uncivilized. He therefore submits that Africans have no idea of spirit and cannot have history. This is because history is spirit and spirit is history. But let us think deeper and ask, if the natural world must be animated by a spirit, is Africa part of the natural world? if yes, let us further the question, how can a part of the body not be animated by the anima (soul, mind or spirit).
                However, Karl Marx was influenced by Hegel. He aligned with the theory of thesis, antithesis and synthesis. As a matter of fact, Marx used the theory to study the eco-political situation of Europe historically. To this effect, it is not out of placepoint out that in the view of Karl Marx, history is determined. But there is a disparity between Hegel and Marl as regards the determinant of history. Hegel, being an idealist tied the determinant to the spirit, which is transcendental and intangible. This can be said to have taken root from the platonic philosophy. But karl Marx was a materialist. His analysis was based on the real world. For Marx, the determinants are the economic factors. Thus, his form of determinism in history can be technically understood in his notion of historical materialism. But man is not a composite of materiality only.
In a more profound way, determinism in history becomes more striking when we consider the teleological vision of some philosophers about the world. Teleology as it weremeans purposiveness, a reason pointing to an end, the summit to which something is directed and can only become understandable at this stage. Teilhard De Chardin calls this end the Omega Point. In his view, an attempt to attend to the problem of evil in the world, he concords that what man terms evil is not evil. For him, the events in this world including the historic disasters as prototype are part of the process leading to the utmost perfection of the world at the omega point. As way of interpretation, we can also say that historical wars; some leading to the vandalization of the beautiful environment is part of the process leading to the perfection of the world. This process by the process philosophers like Alfred North Whitehead cannot be altered by any man. In fact, man is part of the process. But can this be true in every respect? What about the depletion of the ozone layer causing direct and heavy sunshine in our world?
In African context, we must be quick to note here that the question of whether history is determined or not is not even raised. African philosophy per se, is one that has metaphysics as its foundation. Owing to this fact, the idea of spirit is not strange to Africans. Rather, it forms the core of African thought. Within this system is the interconnectivity between man as the object of history and the transcendental world, where the force and the supervision of the activities of man comes. For the typical African, man can do nothing alone without the assistance of the ancestral world. Also we must expose the fact that punishment and reward comes from this arena. Man is therefore compelled, mandated and determined

BURY THE HATCHET: PEACE AND UNITY AMONGST CHRISTIANS AND MUSLIMS IN NIGERIA.






                                                                                                ELUSIYAN TOLU’ FRANCIS
“Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people” CHARLES D` SOUZA.
“ A person who is not disturbed by the incessant flow of desires that enter like rivers into the ocean, which is even being filled but is always still, can only achieve peace and not the man who strives to satisfy such desires” BHAGVAD GITA.

THE IMAGE PROBLEM

            Life is a big challenge, and an unpredictable domain. Who is unaware of it? You discuss it, it’s a challenge. You share it, it’s a challenge. You manage it, it’s a challenge. You care for it, it’s a challenge. You dream of it, it remains a challenge. Everything about life is a challenge. But we may ask, what are our challenges? There are many challenges facing Nigeria as a country that if we begin to talk of them then, it will be that we are preparing to make a book for publication. But let us just stop and focus on the major happenings, Division among Religion. More lucid among Christians and Muslims.
The incessant religious conflagration between Muslims and Christians is becoming alarming and this should be everyone`s concern. Nigeria as we know is a country that grows spontaneously in despicable vices. Though acclaimed the giant of Africa, what is visible in Nigeria is only a similitude of a pygmy and a dwarf nation that continues to struggle in the pangs of poisonous situations that have continually hindered it growth. Should we now allow religious conflict to be one of the problems faced by Nigeria? If this happen then the country will continues to fall into what I will call total Debacle. Though we know that this crucial pang of dwarfness has eaten into deep into the nation’s fabrics, it affects everything she does and this minimalistic proclivity has thrown the nation into a state of identity crises. Shame means nothing to her anymore to the extent that Christians and Muslims now turn themselves into Christmas chicken. For decades the problem has continued unabated whether during military or civilian regimes. There is no point giving a list here but at the last count, we have had no less than 30 of such crises from 1976 till date. Over the course of the last eight years we have had the government, whether federal state of local to tackle this problem. There has been no planning either by the government or religious bodies to stop this mayhem that has become a Miasma in Nigeria. If we could remember vividly during the regime of General Ibrahim Bababgida, he polarized Muslims and Christians to perpetrate corruption and the evil he brought in Nigeria by using a divide and rule tactics. Many have pointed to the religious difference and intolerance between Christian and Muslims as responsible for these crises. Let us not also forget the 2010 Jos riots between Christians and Muslims ethics group there were bloodshed and this clashes have been characterised as “religious violence.” till today. I am not surprise because Nigeria, a fearless association of people that lacks the essentialities of a country will continue to drown if nothing is done. Or maybe there was never a country!

SHOULD THE SLEEPY DOG LIE?

            Left to me I will say, “let us bury the Hatchet” let unity, peace, harmony, love, order and stability reign amongst us Christians and Muslims, because the very survival of the world itself is perhaps at stake. If Christian and Muslim are not at peace the country cannot be at peace. They both have agreed that the Love of God and Neighbour were the two were the two most important commandments of their faiths. Let us therefore bridge the gap by eradicating every form of hatred and embracing Love.
Love is the fullness of the law, and everyone deserved to be loved. But very often the attitude of mind determines the approach. The attitude can be biased, tainted with doubt or fear or anxiety clothed with suspicion, choked with hate or anger, imbued with greed, or fired with lust. On the other hand, the attitude can be tempered with understanding, consideration and concern for others. One of the greatest values in life lies in our ability to get along with other peoples. When we believe in them we can work with them. When we believe in God, we seek to serve him. When we serve our fellow human beings we serve God. Our faith, therefore, becomes a living dynamics faith-faith in action.
Mother Theresa says “only a life lived for others is a life worth living” but if there are divisions among those who claim to serve the one and true God then there is a contradiction and a serious problem because as different religion worshipping the same God, their shouldn’t be something of such. God entrusted us all with a particular responsibility which is the salvation of souls (salus Anumarum) but, are we saving souls by killing ourselves? Or by shedding our bloods? By fighting and shedding blood, we are missing our major focus as believers, and at the same time offending God for this particular reason Jesus Christ shed his blood to redeem us. Why shed another to condemn ourselves? We must remember that whatever we do becomes a reference point for future generation, and if we continue this way, would there be a future for young ones? For if we live in criticism, we learn to condemn; if we live with hostility, we learn to fight. If we live with shame, we learn to feel guilty. If we live in tolerance, we learn to be patient. If we live with encouragement, we learn confidence.
And lastly if we live with acceptance and friendship, we learn to find love among ourselves. In the Gospel of (Matt 5:14) Jesus says “you are like light for the whole world. A city built on a hill cannot be hidden”. And that is exactly what we are; we are the light for the whole world and also a city which is on the hill.
The second Vatican council has encouraged Christians to live together peacefully with Muslims. Other church documents state that dialogue and proclamation are not contradictory but are two aspects of an integrated witness to faith.  Whatever we do cannot be hidden, then let us come together and share our paradoxes. Nigeria as a country is beset with myriads of challenges searching for solutions. Instead of us being divided, let us come together and use our faith, our religion and our prayer to solve the problem of our dear country.
 There is a Golden rule given to us by Jesus Christ which says “do to others what you would like others to do to you”. No one is willing to die either for his neighbour or at his own appropriate time. This same idea is a familiar ethical principle in many Cultures. Buddhists says “hurt not others in ways that you yourself would find hurtful”. Confucianism says: “is there one maxim which ought to be acted upon throughout one’s whole life? Surely it is the maxim of loving kindness.
 Do not unto others what you would not have them do unto you” Hinduism says “this is the sum of duty: do not unto others which would because you pain if done to you”. But do we realise how much pains we have caused for ourselves and the future of our children? Islam says: “no one of you is a believer until he desires for his brothers that which he desires for himself”. What is it that we desire for ourselves? Is it joy or sorrow?  These words communicate the same meaning. When we put the Golden rule into practice, we not only make this a happier world by contributing to the good order of our country but we become more attractive persons ourselves and an example to emulate. If everyone followed the Golden rule there would be no prisons and no more crime. We wouldn’t have to lock our doors at night. There would be no violence, no bloodshed, no wars and no division. People would live as God intended and there would be great happiness in the land. Therefore, fellow believers I charge you all to wake up from your slumber of enmity for it will lead us nowhere but doom and let us put these above writings to heart. Permit me to conclude with the words of the book “bread for the Journey” Life is unspeakable. We can be happy one day and the next, healthy one day and sick the next, rich one day and poor the next, alive one day and dead the next. So who is there to hold on to? Who is there to feel secure with? Who is there to trust at all times? Only Jesus Christ our rock, our brother, our guide and our friend.

THE ROLE OF PROPHECY IN GENERAL




                                                                                                             ELUSIYAN TOLU’ FRANCIS
INTRODUCTION
 What is prophecy? Why did God reveal so much about the future through his prophets? What are God’s reasons for wanting us to understand the prophecies? Sometimes a child will stare out of a window for a moment of an hour, deciphering the future from a dusky summer sky. Does he imagine that some wisp of cloud reveals the signature of things to come? Or that the world’s a book we learn to transfer? And sometimes a girl stands naked by a mirror imagine beauty in a stranger’s eyes, finding a place where fear leads to desire. For what is prophecy but the first inkling of what we ourselves must call into being? The call need not be large, no voice in thunder. It is not so much what spoken as what’s heard and recognized, of course. The gift is listening and hearing what is only meant for you.
Life has its mysteries, annunciations, and some must wear a crown of thorns. I found my via dolorosa in your love. And sometimes we proceed by prophecy, or not at all, even if only to know what destiny require us to renounce.
We all our curious about the future and what’s in store for us personally! And our loving creator doesn’t want his people to be in the dark and to be worried with fear of the unknown. So he inspired the bible so it can be our guidebook and map for our life’s journeys. Bible prophecy and even prophetic messages does indeed satisfy much curiosity about the future, but God has greater purposes than just that. They have wonderful spiritual purpose!
During the last two or three decades we have heard more concerning the present fulfilment of prophecy than at any time during the Christian centuries. It is true that for certain types of mind, the prophetic word has a special attraction. These portions of the scriptures have therefore been the happy hunting ground of many who have desired to learn about the future, but it seems that in last few decades, the interest in the study of prophecy has been heightened.
By and large our concern in this discourse is not to critically expose the nature of prophecy but to examine the role of prophecy in general and this shall be run open under the following thematic outline:
-WHAT IS PROPHECY
-THE ROLE OF PROPHECY IN GENERAL
-CONCLUSION

WHAT IS PROPHECY?
This is a statement that something will happen in the future,especially one made by some body with religious or magic powers or the power of being able to say what will happen in the future[1].
A prophecy could be a prediction that directly or indirectly causes it self to become true, by the very terms of the prophecy it self, due to positive feedback between belief and behaviour. Although examples of such prophecies can be found in literature as far back as ancient Greece and ancient india, it is 20th century sociologist reobert k merton who is credited with coining the expression ‘self fulfilling prophecy’ and formalizing its structure and consequences[2]. In his 1948 article self-fulfilling prophecy, merton defines it in the following terms:
                        ‘the self fulfilling prophecy is, in the beginning a false definition of the situation evoking a new behaviour which makes the original false conception come true. This specious validity of prophecy pertpetuates a reign of error. For the prophet will cite the actual course of events as proof that he was right from the very beginning[3].’
In other words a positive or negative prophecy, strongly held belief, or delusion, declared as truth when it is actually false, may sufficiently influence people so that their reactions ultimately fulfil the once-false prophecy.
Sometimes prophecy could be effects in behavioural confirmation effect, in which behaviour, influenced by expectations causes those expectations to come true.
According to Thomas theorem which sate that:
            ‘If men define situations as real, they are in their consequences[4]’
According to thomas, people react not only to the situations they are in, but also, and often primarily, to the way they perceive the situations and to the meaning they assign to these perceptions. Therefore, their behaviour is determined in part by their perception and the meaning they ascribe to the situations they are in, rather than by the situations themselves. Once people convince themselves that a situation really has a certain meaning, regardless of whether it actually does, they will take very real actions in consequences.
THE ROLE OF PROPHECY IN GENERAL
Haven clarify our scepticism in the previous discourse we shall now examine critically the role of prophecy in general which is the major concern of this work.  An interest in this portion of the scriptures normally indicates a healthy spiritual condition, a desire to know more perfectly what God has received. An absence of this desire to study the predictions of the word is indicative of an abnormal growth or distorted or perverted ideas regarding the truth. Something therefore is radically wrong with the person who is not concerned about the prophecies.
In certain fundamental circles, there have been found much guessing and speculation, which have brought disrepute upon the study of prophecy and which have caused thinking men and women, seeing what glaring errors have been made by amateur expositors of the prophectic word, come to the conclusion that it is impossible for anyone to interpret prophecy correctly. They therefore, wishing to avoid errors, devote their time to those portions of the word and those matters mentioned therein about which there need not be any guessing or speculation. But it would interest you to know that, prophecy play alot of roles:
Prophecy help confirm that the Bible is God’s word. Because of the requirements noted earlier, true prophets of God often predicted near future events so that, when their predictions came true, people would know that the person was a true prophet of God and that his message concerning the presnt proved accurate, we too may have  confidence that, whether fortelling or forthelling, the words  of the biblical prophets are God’s word.[5]
Biblical predictions encourage our belief that God is sovereign over the affairs of men. Fulfilled predictions prove that God indeed can set up nations and take them down, use powerful men to accomplish his purposes, and tell us in advance exactly what is going to happen[6].
Biblical predictions about events still in the future, motivate us to be very vigilant and be committed to our faith. Jesus  who commanded, ‘Be on guard! Be laert! You do not know when time will come’ (mark 13:33) and also instructed, ‘now  learn this lesson from the fig tree: as soon as its twinges get tender and its leaves come out, you know that summer is near. Even so, when you see these things happening, you know that it is near, right at the door ‘mark 28, 29.[7]
The knowledge of the prophecy can also help us to interpret world and events and it could help us to be courageous when hardship comes.
CONCLUSION                           
By way of conclusion on the account of this discourse, one would see that prophecy has it own role but sometimes it affect the psychology of the people such people act towards what has been prophesied. In fact people seems not to believe in prophetic message again because of so many fake clergy in our society who speak out false prophetic message and who misinterpret the scriptural prophetic messages and this is evident in WOLE SOYINKA’S novel ‘THE TRIALS OF BRO JERO’ where prophet jero is presented to the reader as a rogue who manipulates and keeps his gullible followers in a subservient position for he is able to read from their minds what they long for. Thus when the play opens, we see brother jero claiming that he is a prophet by birth and by inclination and tries as much as possible to convince people that although there are many prophet but that they are not the same. The prophet then uses pun to show that ‘eggs is eggs’ which means in English ‘they are all the same’. He keep people dissatisfied; for once they are satisfied they will leave him. He believes that as long as they are unhappy, worried and dissatisfied, they will continually seek his service for prophesying. This is contrary to the message of freedom and choice that Christianity spells to its followers. Brother jero’s philosophy of keeping people dissatisfied and helpless does not conform to basic Christian ethics. Wole Soyinka uses the protagonist to show that the attitude of some religious leaders negate to a greater extent what they prophesy, in fact some can change the prophetic message to suit their needs. By so doing people lose interest in prophecy and prophecy continue to fade away like a wash hand basin.



[1] Oxford advanced learner’s Dictionary 8th Edition
[2] Wikipedia.com, retreieved 4/12/2015
[3] Merton Rober ‘self-fulfilling prophecy’ Antioch review 8 1948, www.wikipedia.com,retreieved 4/12/2015
[4] Thomas W.I ‘The child in America: behaviour  problems and programs’ New Yorrk, 1928.pg 572
[5] Keith hunt ‘Benefits of prophecy’ pdf pg176
[6] ibid
[7] ibid